Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.016390 0.020482 0.025844 0.033608 0.044976 0.061746 0.089972
2025-01-26 0.012375 0.017141 0.024433 0.037260 0.061511 0.111776 0.251160
2025-02-02 0.010382 0.015373 0.023850 0.041059 0.081244 0.197216 0.810192
2025-02-09 0.008691 0.013426 0.022039 0.041361 0.094364 0.299561 2.756237
2025-02-16 0.007527 0.012023 0.020667 0.041761 0.108754 0.462041 18.618887
2025-02-23 0.006630 0.010876 0.019412 0.041772 0.122793 0.713590 9872.512287
2025-03-02 0.005767 0.009617 0.017578 0.039403 0.125903 0.938420 NaN
2025-03-09 0.005161 0.008750 0.016384 0.038329 0.134198 1.368067 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004774 0.008252 0.015903 0.039201 0.154525 2.572005 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004414 0.007750 0.015296 0.039420 0.172954 5.051033 NaN
2025-03-30 0.004001 0.007082 0.014149 0.037327 0.173688 7.417649 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003691 0.006596 0.013374 0.036300 0.181882 13.969374 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003507 0.006398 0.013403 0.038816 0.232866 248.750506 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003387 0.006332 0.013793 0.043295 0.333179 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003271 0.006253 0.014127 0.047982 0.487247 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.003061 0.005920 0.013635 0.048357 0.581406 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002878 0.005628 0.013205 0.048852 0.702389 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002707 0.005343 0.012735 0.048866 0.830998 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002503 0.004952 0.011851 0.045935 0.819856 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002347 0.004667 0.011270 0.044610 0.884286 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002246 0.004511 0.011078 0.045686 1.128694 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002142 0.004334 0.010785 0.045956 1.375770 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.002006 0.004063 0.010131 0.043377 1.337350 NaN NaN